Politics
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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
23%
chance24h1.0 pts
$728.6k Vol · $690.1k LiqOct 5, 2026
Next French Presidential Election
24h1.4 pts
$713.7k Vol · $17.6m LiqApr 19, 2027
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
24h1.0 pts
$572.6k Vol · $511.4k LiqJan 1, 2027
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
24h0.0 pts
$508.7k Vol · $8.8m LiqNov 4, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
77%
chance24h0.2 pts
$473.6k Vol · $548.8k LiqOct 5, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%
chance24h1.0 pts
$314.6k Vol · $421.0k LiqJan 1, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
24h2.5 pts
$303.5k Vol · $707.3k LiqOct 26, 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
24h0.4 pts
$261.6k Vol · $2.8m LiqOct 28, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$256.1k Vol · $50.9m LiqNov 8, 2028
Elon Musk # tweets October 13
24h1.7 pts
$212.8k Vol · $211.4k LiqOct 20, 2026
Closing soon
Elon Musk # tweets October 15
24h27.5 pts
$202.8k Vol · $98.0k LiqOct 17, 2026
Iran leadership change by...?
24h3.0 pts
$176.0k Vol · $396.8k LiqJul 1, 2027
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
24h0.0 pts
$164.3k Vol · $74.6m LiqNov 8, 2028
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
65%
chance24h1.0 pts
$164.2k Vol · $1.3m LiqNov 4, 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
24h6.5 pts
$139.7k Vol · $71.6k LiqDec 31, 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
24h0.3 pts
$121.7k Vol · $58.6m LiqNov 8, 2028
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
75%
chance$111.6k Vol · $167.6k LiqNov 4, 2026
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
$102.5k Vol · $489.0k LiqOct 28, 2026
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
72%
chance$93.8k Vol · $12.3k LiqNov 1, 2026
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
38%
chance$91.3k Vol · $368.7k LiqNov 4, 2026
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
$82.8k Vol · $1.4m LiqNov 4, 2026
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
37%
chance$74.3k Vol · $3.2m LiqNov 4, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$66.1k Vol · $1.2m LiqJul 1, 2027
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
$66.0k Vol · $98.3k LiqJan 1, 2027
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
$63.6k Vol · $606.2k LiqOct 25, 2027
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
36%
chance$58.2k Vol · $223.2k LiqNov 4, 2026
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
81%
chance$52.4k Vol · $23.6k LiqJan 1, 2027
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
$43.3k Vol · $189.2k LiqNov 29, 2026
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
$36.0k Vol · $389.3k LiqOct 26, 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$34.2k Vol · $2.2m LiqJan 1, 2027