Geopolitics
Sort22 markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
24h1.0 pts
$572.6k Vol · $511.4k LiqJan 1, 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%
chance24h1.0 pts
$314.6k Vol · $421.0k LiqJan 1, 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
24h0.4 pts
$261.6k Vol · $2.8m LiqOct 28, 2026
Iran leadership change by...?
24h3.0 pts
$176.0k Vol · $396.8k LiqJul 1, 2027
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
24h6.5 pts
$139.7k Vol · $71.6k LiqDec 31, 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
75%
chance24h2.0 pts
$111.6k Vol · $167.6k LiqNov 4, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
24h0.0 pts
$85.0k Vol · $146.1k LiqJan 1, 2027
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
24h6.1 pts
$82.8k Vol · $1.4m LiqNov 4, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
24h1.0 pts
$66.1k Vol · $1.2m LiqJul 1, 2027
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
24h4.0 pts
$66.0k Vol · $98.3k LiqJan 1, 2027
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?
24%
chance24h0.0 pts
$61.5k Vol · $7.9k LiqApr 1, 2027
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
24h0.5 pts
$34.8k Vol · $133.6k LiqJul 1, 2027
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
24h3.6 pts
$34.2k Vol · $2.2m LiqJan 1, 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
24h2.5 pts
$22.7k Vol · $81.6k LiqNov 1, 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
24h5.0 pts
$22.0k Vol · $81.6k LiqJan 1, 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
24h4.5 pts
$21.3k Vol · $511.9k LiqJan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
$18.5k Vol · $114.9k LiqDec 31, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
24%
chance$17.4k Vol · $128.9k LiqJan 1, 2027
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$16.7k Vol · $1.3m LiqNov 4, 2026
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$14.3k Vol · $1.4m LiqNov 4, 2026
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
22%
chance$13.3k Vol · $21.8k LiqJan 1, 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
$12.4k Vol · $252.6k LiqMar 1, 2027